Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Generic Ballot Test Trends: Why Dems Losing Appeal

To the left is a table showing the trend of the generic congressional ballot test going back to late last year (pardon the micro type, I will upload clearer versions in the future). This data is from Rasmussen Reports, which uses the most realistic, and most predictive, methodology of surveying likely voters. Surveying likely voters is the same approach we at Encompass use for our clients.

Note that it didn’t take long for the Democrats’ lead to fade. From our perspective, and based on other polling data, this is because Democrats have shifted so heavily to the left. Voters may vote for change, but that doesn’t mean they’ve bought into an entire ideology.

We are still a capitalist, free market society that holds freedom (economic and political) near and dear to our hearts, and are distrustful of government bureaucracy.

The lesson being learned here is that voters in 2008 were voting at least as much against George Bush as they were for new direction. There has not been a radical realignment of voters’ fundamental belief system.

Under the very liberal leadership of Speaker Pelosi, and the authentically liberal President Obama, the Democratic Party has lurched so heavily to the left that their numbers have fallen off a cliff in a matter of months.

We will delve more into this subject as it unfolds, and offer more in-depth analysis of what is going on politically around the country right now.

1 comment:

  1. Influence can be defined as the power exerted over the minds and behavior of others. A power that can affect, persuade and cause changes to someone or something. In order to influence people, you first need to discover what is already influencing them. What makes them tick? What do they care about? We need some leverage to work with when we’re trying to change how people think and behave.

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